| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.38 | 64.3% | 60.00 | 65.3% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.71 | 62.0% | 60.00 | 63.2% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.51 | 59.7% | 60.00 | 60.9% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.53 | 57.4% | 52.51 | 58.5% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.30 | 54.9% | 60.00 | 56.2% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.15 | 52.1% | 60.00 | 53.5% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.10 | 49.1% | 60.00 | 50.7% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 130.45 | 46.0% | 60.00 | 47.6% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 140.68 | 42.7% | 60.00 | 44.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →