| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.83 | 66.7% | 34.59 | 32.7% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.61 | 65.4% | 42.92 | 33.8% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.41 | 64.0% | 36.75 | 35.3% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.29 | 62.4% | 51.95 | 36.7% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.06 | 60.9% | 25.01 | 38.6% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.01 | 59.8% | 31.10 | 39.6% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.61 | 57.9% | 60.00 | 40.8% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.49 | 55.3% | 60.00 | 43.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →