| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.72 | 57.2% | 49.06 | 41.7% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.95 | 55.4% | 35.97 | 43.8% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 21.86 | 45.2% | 9.87 | 45.4% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.30 | 54.0% | 47.70 | 44.9% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.04 | 46.6% | 19.57 | 47.1% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 45.77 | 45.5% | 20.81 | 46.0% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 138.93 | 43.2% | 60.00 | 44.9% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 151.25 | 39.7% | 60.00 | 41.5% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 166.98 | 35.9% | 60.00 | 37.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →