| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.19 | 61.7% | 60.00 | 37.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.12 | 59.9% | 34.21 | 39.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.54 | 58.0% | 60.00 | 40.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.40 | 55.3% | 60.00 | 43.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.34 | 52.9% | 46.22 | 46.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →