| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 78.07 | 65.8% | 51.36 | 66.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 20.63 | 64.7% | 13.34 | 64.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.73 | 63.3% | 60.00 | 64.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.00 | 61.8% | 23.48 | 62.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.40 | 60.6% | 39.01 | 61.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.04 | 58.8% | 50.56 | 59.8% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.36 | 56.4% | 60.00 | 57.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →