| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 21.02 | 67.2% | 14.12 | 67.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.00 | 65.9% | 60.00 | 67.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.23 | 64.0% | 50.71 | 64.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 62.24 | 62.4% | 38.81 | 63.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.27 | 60.4% | 60.00 | 61.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.58 | 58.0% | 59.50 | 59.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.27 | 55.4% | 60.00 | 56.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →