| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.75 | 63.9% | 41.37 | 35.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 131.88 | 35.3% | 46.61 | 36.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.73 | 32.6% | 35.81 | 33.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.79 | 30.5% | 25.59 | 31.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.20 | 28.4% | 34.71 | 29.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →