| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 48.62 | 51.8% | 25.20 | 52.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.92 | 50.7% | 19.75 | 51.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.43 | 49.5% | 30.40 | 50.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 13.22 | 48.6% | 6.42 | 48.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 56.48 | 47.7% | 26.93 | 48.4% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 132.34 | 45.3% | 60.00 | 47.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →