| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.87 | 54.0% | 47.95 | 44.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.56 | 52.5% | 14.99 | 47.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.22 | 51.7% | 16.67 | 47.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.49 | 50.7% | 24.60 | 48.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.32 | 49.3% | 32.69 | 49.9% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.77 | 48.2% | 10.01 | 51.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →