| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.26 | 50.2% | 15.69 | 49.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.86 | 49.6% | 9.84 | 50.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 47.74 | 50.1% | 23.92 | 50.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.30 | 50.3% | 8.20 | 49.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 53.10 | 49.2% | 26.15 | 49.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.30 | 48.1% | 18.90 | 48.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 10.12 | 52.3% | 5.29 | 47.6% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.60 | 51.9% | 10.17 | 47.9% |
The condition is on the daily low at station KMIA over its local calendar day 2026-09-25 — local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. A day with a gap over six hours between observations or fewer than twelve observations is withheld: every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. The official NWS value comes from the 1-minute ASOS record and can differ from the METAR extreme by about a degree. Settlement rules →