| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.25 | 73.0% | 60.00 | 73.8% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.79 | 71.5% | 47.02 | 72.1% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.84 | 69.9% | 60.00 | 70.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 78.28 | 68.1% | 53.34 | 69.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.52 | 66.3% | 60.00 | 67.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.46 | 64.2% | 60.00 | 65.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.80 | 62.0% | 60.00 | 63.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.62 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 60.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.02 | 57.1% | 60.00 | 58.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 110.13 | 54.5% | 60.00 | 55.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →