| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.01 | 49.2% | 60.00 | 50.7% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 34.20 | 47.2% | 16.15 | 47.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 80.79 | 45.8% | 37.00 | 46.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 139.27 | 43.1% | 60.00 | 44.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 151.67 | 39.6% | 60.00 | 41.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.82 | 37.1% | 20.71 | 37.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 174.06 | 34.5% | 60.00 | 36.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 197.29 | 30.4% | 60.00 | 32.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →