| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.90 | 64.8% | 54.36 | 65.7% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.66 | 62.7% | 60.00 | 63.8% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.72 | 60.9% | 35.76 | 61.6% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 75.82 | 59.3% | 44.95 | 60.2% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.05 | 41.4% | 8.30 | 58.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 71.81 | 58.0% | 41.64 | 58.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 75.96 | 56.2% | 42.67 | 57.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.53 | 54.5% | 30.29 | 55.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.09 | 53.1% | 34.01 | 53.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.14 | 50.8% | 60.00 | 52.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 125.67 | 47.7% | 60.00 | 49.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 134.80 | 44.5% | 60.00 | 46.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →