| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.84 | 73.6% | 32.27 | 26.0% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.93 | 72.4% | 60.00 | 26.8% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.49 | 71.1% | 30.20 | 28.5% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 33.85 | 29.0% | 9.82 | 29.4% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.89 | 28.1% | 16.25 | 28.7% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 11.51 | 72.4% | 8.33 | 27.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 12.74 | 72.2% | 9.19 | 27.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.66 | 71.7% | 22.70 | 28.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →