| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.17 | 58.7% | 60.00 | 60.0% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.76 | 57.1% | 17.00 | 57.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.27 | 55.4% | 60.00 | 56.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.94 | 52.7% | 60.00 | 54.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 120.65 | 49.7% | 60.00 | 51.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 128.70 | 46.6% | 60.00 | 48.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 138.51 | 43.3% | 60.00 | 45.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →