| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.51 | 85.1% | 60.00 | 14.5% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.10 | 84.4% | 38.04 | 15.4% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 173.51 | 14.8% | 25.73 | 15.9% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.76 | 86.1% | 25.61 | 13.8% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.91 | 85.5% | 47.83 | 14.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 14.69 | 85.1% | 12.50 | 14.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.91 | 84.6% | 52.38 | 15.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.25 | 83.9% | 37.13 | 15.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.02 | 83.2% | 45.79 | 16.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.64 | 82.3% | 57.34 | 17.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.55 | 81.6% | 28.18 | 18.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.62 | 81.1% | 25.63 | 18.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.48 | 18.3% | 20.79 | 19.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.35 | 82.3% | 29.08 | 17.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.90 | 81.6% | 42.36 | 18.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →