| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 15.30 | 38.0% | 5.82 | 38.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.27 | 61.5% | 32.77 | 37.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.54 | 59.7% | 60.00 | 39.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 151.06 | 39.7% | 60.00 | 41.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.09 | 37.0% | 29.26 | 37.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 176.04 | 34.1% | 60.00 | 36.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.34 | 31.2% | 28.14 | 32.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →