| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.13 | 74.9% | 60.00 | 24.4% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.83 | 73.3% | 60.00 | 25.9% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.37 | 27.2% | 8.79 | 27.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 12.72 | 73.0% | 9.29 | 26.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.86 | 72.8% | 11.54 | 27.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →