| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.94 | 51.1% | 14.80 | 48.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.05 | 48.9% | 13.71 | 49.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.66 | 50.2% | 51.53 | 48.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 70.93 | 50.2% | 35.61 | 51.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.17 | 50.3% | 15.18 | 49.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →