| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 25.49 | 40.3% | 10.28 | 40.6% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.29 | 59.4% | 26.33 | 40.0% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.43 | 58.2% | 33.43 | 41.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.20 | 56.8% | 34.18 | 42.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.15 | 54.7% | 59.69 | 44.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →