| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.35 | 51.6% | 10.49 | 48.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.11 | 50.3% | 39.80 | 48.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.02 | 49.1% | 8.36 | 50.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.77 | 47.5% | 52.63 | 51.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →