| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.57 | 66.2% | 55.29 | 32.9% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.41 | 65.0% | 13.91 | 34.8% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 72.58 | 34.4% | 25.00 | 35.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.84 | 32.7% | 28.05 | 33.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.09 | 31.3% | 12.55 | 31.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →