| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.27 | 82.3% | 19.97 | 17.5% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.55 | 81.6% | 60.00 | 17.9% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.61 | 80.9% | 15.86 | 19.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.14 | 18.8% | 12.97 | 19.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.89 | 81.2% | 60.00 | 18.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.33 | 80.2% | 45.17 | 19.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.69 | 79.5% | 25.19 | 20.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.99 | 78.7% | 52.70 | 20.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →