| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.80 | 62.0% | 60.00 | 36.9% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 161.01 | 37.3% | 60.00 | 39.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.47 | 63.5% | 60.00 | 35.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.52 | 61.6% | 43.43 | 37.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.78 | 59.5% | 60.00 | 39.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.16 | 57.3% | 48.78 | 41.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.92 | 55.9% | 16.16 | 43.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.78 | 54.5% | 43.51 | 44.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.92 | 53.1% | 20.65 | 46.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 117.40 | 51.1% | 60.00 | 47.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →