| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.82 | 80.9% | 39.51 | 18.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.61 | 80.3% | 26.18 | 19.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.21 | 79.7% | 37.60 | 20.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 62.54 | 20.2% | 12.65 | 20.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →