| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.37 | 50.5% | 20.38 | 49.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.87 | 49.3% | 28.53 | 50.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.42 | 51.1% | 15.02 | 48.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.30 | 50.4% | 11.74 | 49.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.79 | 48.8% | 41.89 | 49.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.83 | 51.8% | 19.07 | 47.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.66 | 50.7% | 27.18 | 48.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.82 | 48.9% | 41.02 | 50.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.48 | 47.2% | 25.72 | 52.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 15.03 | 53.3% | 8.01 | 53.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 23.98 | 52.8% | 12.66 | 53.1% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.24 | 46.9% | 23.09 | 52.5% |
The condition is on the daily low at station KJFK over its local calendar day 2026-09-25 — local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. A day with a gap over six hours between observations or fewer than twelve observations is withheld: every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. The official NWS value comes from the 1-minute ASOS record and can differ from the METAR extreme by about a degree. Settlement rules →