| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.05 | 49.8% | 43.32 | 49.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 21.90 | 51.0% | 11.18 | 51.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.56 | 50.1% | 28.81 | 50.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.15 | 48.5% | 31.61 | 49.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.02 | 51.9% | 17.13 | 47.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 31.76 | 48.1% | 15.29 | 48.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.45 | 46.5% | 45.34 | 47.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.12 | 43.9% | 48.83 | 45.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.20 | 41.5% | 37.82 | 42.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 155.80 | 38.5% | 60.00 | 40.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 172.90 | 34.7% | 60.00 | 36.7% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 195.72 | 30.7% | 60.00 | 32.8% |
The condition is on the daily high at station KJFK over its local calendar day 2026-09-25 — local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. A day with a gap over six hours between observations or fewer than twelve observations is withheld: every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. The official NWS value comes from the 1-minute ASOS record and can differ from the METAR extreme by about a degree. Settlement rules →