| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.61 | 54.0% | 17.61 | 54.4% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.52 | 45.1% | 45.83 | 53.6% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.28 | 55.3% | 38.28 | 56.1% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.03 | 45.4% | 7.73 | 54.4% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.78 | 44.8% | 12.01 | 54.8% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.84 | 44.0% | 19.28 | 55.5% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 36.23 | 56.1% | 20.33 | 56.6% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.32 | 43.4% | 31.84 | 55.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.88 | 56.3% | 52.87 | 57.5% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.32 | 44.3% | 17.88 | 55.2% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.05 | 43.1% | 27.58 | 56.2% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 13.90 | 57.6% | 8.00 | 57.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →