| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.39 | 61.3% | 44.97 | 37.9% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.38 | 59.2% | 60.00 | 39.6% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.04 | 57.5% | 23.01 | 42.0% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.82 | 55.6% | 60.00 | 43.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →