| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 130.28 | 46.1% | 60.00 | 47.7% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.41 | 54.7% | 40.12 | 44.4% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.70 | 52.3% | 60.00 | 46.3% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.06 | 48.5% | 22.36 | 49.1% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.46 | 51.7% | 13.68 | 48.0% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 113.68 | 49.9% | 56.78 | 48.6% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 127.84 | 46.9% | 60.00 | 51.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →