| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 67.73 | 17.9% | 12.12 | 18.4% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.70 | 82.1% | 57.22 | 17.4% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.68 | 81.1% | 46.80 | 18.4% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.05 | 80.5% | 16.95 | 19.3% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.39 | 80.2% | 13.15 | 19.6% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.37 | 79.8% | 29.03 | 19.9% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.55 | 79.0% | 45.49 | 20.5% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.64 | 78.1% | 40.34 | 21.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.93 | 77.0% | 60.00 | 22.3% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.44 | 75.8% | 39.76 | 23.7% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 13.28 | 75.2% | 9.99 | 24.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →