| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.92 | 61.9% | 60.00 | 63.0% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 60.26 | 60.0% | 36.18 | 60.8% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 52.07 | 58.7% | 30.56 | 59.3% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 37.52 | 57.6% | 21.61 | 58.1% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.67 | 56.4% | 34.77 | 57.1% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 76.92 | 54.7% | 42.05 | 55.6% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 11.27 | 53.6% | 6.04 | 53.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →