| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.77 | 72.1% | 43.84 | 27.3% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.64 | 70.9% | 42.29 | 28.5% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.33 | 69.9% | 28.18 | 29.7% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.58 | 68.5% | 60.00 | 30.6% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.14 | 66.6% | 60.00 | 32.4% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.24 | 64.5% | 58.86 | 34.4% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.09 | 62.6% | 48.23 | 36.5% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.21 | 60.5% | 60.00 | 38.3% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.18 | 58.1% | 55.90 | 40.7% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.45 | 56.6% | 17.79 | 43.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →