| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.82 | 84.3% | 53.79 | 15.3% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.64 | 83.5% | 38.13 | 16.1% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.54 | 82.7% | 60.00 | 16.8% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.56 | 81.9% | 33.22 | 17.8% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.05 | 81.0% | 60.00 | 18.4% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.38 | 80.0% | 42.72 | 19.5% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.63 | 79.4% | 19.56 | 20.4% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.38 | 78.6% | 60.00 | 20.8% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.89 | 77.5% | 33.26 | 22.1% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.47 | 76.5% | 60.00 | 22.8% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.99 | 75.0% | 60.00 | 24.2% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.67 | 73.5% | 60.00 | 25.7% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.54 | 71.8% | 60.00 | 27.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →