| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.47 | 69.4% | 60.00 | 29.7% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.19 | 67.8% | 44.17 | 31.5% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.87 | 66.0% | 60.00 | 33.0% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.86 | 63.9% | 60.00 | 35.0% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.93 | 62.1% | 37.85 | 37.2% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.65 | 60.2% | 60.00 | 38.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.89 | 57.8% | 60.00 | 41.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.86 | 55.2% | 58.41 | 43.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →