| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.42 | 64.6% | 28.71 | 34.9% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.20 | 63.0% | 60.00 | 35.9% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.12 | 61.5% | 23.43 | 38.1% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.65 | 60.6% | 21.60 | 39.0% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.82 | 58.9% | 60.00 | 39.8% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.67 | 57.4% | 14.73 | 42.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →