| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.26 | 79.7% | 23.32 | 20.1% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.36 | 79.2% | 29.57 | 20.5% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.37 | 78.4% | 37.16 | 21.2% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 11.06 | 77.9% | 8.62 | 22.0% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.58 | 77.4% | 36.85 | 22.1% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 10.53 | 76.9% | 8.10 | 23.0% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.41 | 76.1% | 59.69 | 23.2% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.97 | 75.0% | 35.96 | 24.6% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.38 | 73.7% | 60.00 | 25.5% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.76 | 72.3% | 43.23 | 27.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →