| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.05 | 47.5% | 15.22 | 47.9% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 25.23 | 46.8% | 11.80 | 47.1% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.01 | 53.2% | 14.90 | 46.5% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.82 | 52.4% | 18.25 | 47.2% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.65 | 47.7% | 14.13 | 48.0% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.58 | 51.4% | 53.76 | 47.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →