| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 14.33 | 84.8% | 12.15 | 15.1% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.00 | 84.5% | 24.51 | 15.3% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.57 | 83.8% | 60.00 | 15.7% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.33 | 82.9% | 58.27 | 16.7% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.85 | 82.1% | 26.97 | 17.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.87 | 81.6% | 27.64 | 18.1% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.77 | 81.0% | 37.08 | 18.6% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.34 | 80.1% | 55.54 | 19.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →