| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.55 | 61.5% | 60.00 | 37.3% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.28 | 59.6% | 37.71 | 39.7% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.35 | 58.2% | 28.16 | 41.2% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.04 | 56.6% | 50.36 | 42.4% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.38 | 54.9% | 23.28 | 44.5% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 113.20 | 53.0% | 60.00 | 45.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →