| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.00 | 68.2% | 60.00 | 30.9% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.75 | 66.6% | 40.43 | 32.8% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.56 | 64.8% | 60.00 | 34.1% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.77 | 62.6% | 60.00 | 36.2% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.17 | 38.0% | 14.89 | 38.5% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.90 | 61.3% | 60.00 | 37.6% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.66 | 59.8% | 17.13 | 39.9% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.96 | 58.9% | 27.06 | 40.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →