| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.74 | 61.1% | 50.57 | 37.9% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.81 | 59.3% | 40.81 | 39.9% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.91 | 57.2% | 60.00 | 41.5% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.22 | 55.4% | 23.93 | 44.1% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.92 | 53.8% | 44.09 | 45.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →