| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.16 | 88.4% | 43.47 | 11.3% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.52 | 88.0% | 23.35 | 11.8% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.29 | 87.5% | 58.03 | 12.1% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.14 | 86.8% | 60.00 | 12.8% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.15 | 86.2% | 25.99 | 13.6% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.20 | 85.7% | 52.42 | 14.0% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.73 | 84.8% | 60.00 | 14.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.30 | 84.1% | 33.05 | 15.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.25 | 83.4% | 53.58 | 16.2% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.79 | 82.4% | 60.00 | 17.0% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.98 | 81.5% | 39.93 | 18.1% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.80 | 80.9% | 27.34 | 18.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →