| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 59.12 | 34.3% | 20.26 | 34.9% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.31 | 65.9% | 29.20 | 33.6% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.84 | 65.2% | 12.93 | 34.6% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.64 | 64.3% | 38.33 | 35.1% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.77 | 63.3% | 15.68 | 36.4% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.94 | 62.2% | 44.72 | 37.0% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.77 | 61.0% | 17.54 | 38.7% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.79 | 60.2% | 20.35 | 39.4% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.35 | 59.5% | 13.31 | 40.2% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.34 | 58.9% | 17.29 | 40.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 34.23 | 41.0% | 14.04 | 41.4% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.74 | 58.6% | 39.68 | 40.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →