| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.62 | 76.3% | 27.93 | 23.4% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 73.24 | 23.4% | 17.14 | 24.1% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.63 | 76.8% | 35.83 | 22.8% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.27 | 75.7% | 60.00 | 23.6% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.12 | 74.3% | 48.41 | 25.0% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.29 | 72.9% | 60.00 | 26.3% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.03 | 71.8% | 19.41 | 27.9% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.38 | 27.4% | 28.08 | 28.5% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.89 | 73.4% | 13.13 | 26.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.57 | 72.8% | 33.17 | 26.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →