| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.46 | 83.7% | 13.77 | 16.2% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.14 | 83.1% | 54.96 | 16.4% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.03 | 82.3% | 38.70 | 17.4% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.40 | 81.4% | 57.32 | 18.1% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.72 | 80.7% | 20.75 | 19.1% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.11 | 79.9% | 60.00 | 19.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →