| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.84 | 56.2% | 60.00 | 42.5% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.26 | 53.4% | 60.00 | 45.2% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 118.66 | 50.6% | 60.00 | 48.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 126.30 | 47.5% | 60.00 | 50.9% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 135.57 | 44.3% | 60.00 | 54.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →