| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 123.06 | 48.8% | 60.00 | 49.7% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 50.12 | 52.2% | 26.14 | 52.8% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.77 | 51.2% | 15.23 | 51.5% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.64 | 48.7% | 21.72 | 50.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 15.43 | 51.7% | 7.98 | 51.9% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.82 | 51.0% | 20.82 | 51.5% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 54.75 | 49.8% | 27.27 | 50.5% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.82 | 50.4% | 19.56 | 49.1% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.10 | 49.0% | 36.29 | 50.1% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.34 | 51.2% | 29.88 | 51.9% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.62 | 50.0% | 20.80 | 50.5% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.65 | 49.3% | 51.05 | 49.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →