| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 119.14 | 50.4% | 60.00 | 51.9% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 126.88 | 47.3% | 60.00 | 48.9% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 113.47 | 52.9% | 60.00 | 45.7% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.29 | 51.1% | 15.98 | 48.5% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.30 | 48.8% | 19.19 | 49.3% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.60 | 50.8% | 35.35 | 48.3% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.36 | 49.4% | 21.41 | 50.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →