| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.28 | 57.1% | 57.81 | 41.7% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.59 | 54.9% | 41.50 | 44.2% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 135.26 | 44.4% | 60.00 | 46.0% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.02 | 57.1% | 9.15 | 42.7% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 54.26 | 42.4% | 23.02 | 43.1% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.66 | 57.9% | 16.59 | 41.8% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.71 | 56.2% | 60.00 | 42.5% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.11 | 53.5% | 60.00 | 45.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →